Mississippi State University
Coble, Keith H.
Date of Degree
Graduate Thesis - Open Access
Master of Science
College of Agriculture and Life Sciences
Department of Agricultural Economics
This research focuses on the recovery of missing county yield observations within government data, which is used in the ARC-CO program that was authorized in the 2014 and 2018 Farm Bills. The recovered missing county values potentially solve issues with the payment process of ARC-CO, which triggers the ARC-CO payments. I examine multiple climate econometric models and the ordinary Kriging to predict the missing yield values. The results show that the ordinary Kriging is more accurate than any of the climate econometric models. After reviewing actual payments of ARC-CO, I find that farmers with irrigated land are underpaid and farmers of dryland are overpaid by the ARC-CO program as established in the 2014 Farm Bill.
Ishee, Zachary S, "Recovering missing yield values: Ramifications for the USDA’s ARC-CO program" (2020). Theses and Dissertations. 3737.