Theses and Dissertations
ORCID
https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5634-9795
Issuing Body
Mississippi State University
Advisor
da Silva, Bruno Kanieski
Committee Member
Sun, Changyou
Committee Member
Yun, Seong Do
Date of Degree
12-8-2023
Document Type
Graduate Thesis - Open Access
Major
Forestry
Degree Name
Master of Science (M.S.)
College
College of Forest Resources
Department
Department of Forestry
Abstract
I investigated the effect of climate change in one of the few expanding markets in the world in Brazil. In the last decades the demand for pulpwood increased from zero to 11 million tons, leading to an expansion of 700 thousand hectares of Eucalyptus plantation. In 2024, a new mill will start operating increasing the consumption of wood fiber by 8.2 million tons (+49%). I used mathematical programming to investigate how different scenarios of productivity and land will affect the market. My results showed that around 946,000 hectares (+124%) of additional timberland will be necessary in the upcoming decades. The first impact will be an increase in the production cost of around US$550 million (+16.4%) in 25 years. If the rate of land cover change remains constant, the broad development of the local market would be constrained, discouraging future investments, and reducing potential positive externalities in the region.
Recommended Citation
Kimura, Roberto Hajime Sant Anna, "Insights into the challenges posed by climate change and land competition to Brazil’s Midwest pulpwood market" (2023). Theses and Dissertations. 6048.
https://scholarsjunction.msstate.edu/td/6048