Theses and Dissertations

ORCID

https://orcid.org/0009-0001-4895-4976

Advisor

Ma, Junfeng

Committee Member

Wang, Haifeng

Committee Member

Tajik, Nazanin

Committee Member

Chale, Marc W,

Date of Degree

12-12-2025

Original embargo terms

Immediate Worldwide Access

Document Type

Dissertation - Open Access

Major

Industrial and Systems Engineering

Degree Name

Doctor of Philosophy (Ph.D.)

College

James Worth Bagley College of Engineering

Department

Department of Industrial and Systems Engineering

Abstract

This research investigates the strategic decision-making process involved in selecting a nuclear-capable fighter aircraft for NATO (North Atlantic Treaty Organization) nations in Europe. In adaptation to the continuously changing technology landscape and the necessity for enhanced deterrence capabilities, this study evaluates three potential aircraft: the legacy Panavia Tornado (PA-200), the widely deployed F-16 Fighting Falcon (F-16), and the advanced F-35 Lightning II (F-35). Each platform presents distinct advantages and limitations regarding operational performance, mission adaptability, cost-effectiveness, and long-term sustainability. To systematically assess these alternatives, the study employs various decision analysis frameworks, including Multi-Criteria Decision Analysis (MCDA), single dimensional value function (SDVF), and multi-objective value functions (MOVF). These methodologies provide an approach for normalizing the means objectives and evaluation measures such as combat effectiveness, survivability, mission versatility, logistical requirements, maintenance feasibility, lifecycle costs, and interoperability with current NATO forces. This research aims to identify the best aircraft that aligns most closely with NATO’s strategic and operational objectives. An essential part of this analysis includes insights from the U.S. Air Force Safety Center (AFSEC/SEWN), particularly the Nuclear Weapons Safety Division, which manages risk mitigation strategies for nuclear-capable platforms. Additionally, discussions with NATO member nations operating the PA-200 Tornado provide valuable insights into the real-world challenges of aircraft modernization and nuclear deterrence strategies.

Download

Share

COinS