A Hybrid Delphi-AHP Based Analysis of Construction Project - Specific Success Factors in Emerging Markets: The Case of Ethiopia

ORCID

Belay: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5931-9089; Rokooei: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8543-653X

MSU Affiliation

College of Architecture, Art and Design; Department of Building Construction Science

Creation Date

2026-10-30

Abstract

Literature highlights that the success of construction projects differs in various attributes. However, only a few empirical studies have been conducted to examine the inter-sectorial aspects of critical success factors in developing countries. Hence, this study aims to investigate the comparative analysis of success factors in public and private sectors across the Ethiopian construction industry. A structured questionnaire matrix was prepared based on the hierarchical model developed through a systematic literature review. Then, the present study introduced a Delphi–Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP) technique to analyze successful attributes in the Ethiopian construction sector. The two rounds of Delphi–AHP survey were conducted through a panel of experts working in different construction firms including owner, consultant, contractor, and academia. The result indicates that the top three ranked critical success factors (CSFs) in the private sector are clear project goals, financial capacity of contractor, and competency of consulting firm. However, CSFs such as adequacy of funds, political environment, and clear project goals are the major CSFs in public construction sector. More so, the findings reveal that there was a consensus among respondents on the rankings of success factors. The study provides practical implications and key recommendations regarding CSFs to enhance project management performance in the Ethiopian construction sector.

Keywords

AHP, construction projects, Critical success factors, Delphi survey, developing countries

Publication Date

3-9-2021

Publication Title

Cogent Engineering

Publisher

Taylor and Francis Group

Creative Commons License

Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License.

Rights

© 2021 The Author(s)

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Digital Object Identifier (DOI)

https://doi.org/10.1080/23311916.2021.1891701